🏠The Housing Market Is Changing — And Fast

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Back in my day, a handshake sealed a deal, a dollar bought you lunch and a newspaper, and a house was something you lived in — not something you bid for like a Picasso at Sotheby’s. But now? Well, welcome to 2025, where buying a house is about as simple as brain surgery during a bumpy stagecoach ride.

The housing market’s got more twists than a rope you left in the trunk of your car twenty years ago — and just about as trustworthiness. Realtors are squabbling over commissions, websites are gatekeeping listings and the folks who just want a place to call home are left wondering if they need a law degree, a crystal ball, and a small inheritance just to make an offer.

It is a brave new market, the game’s changed — but the stakes remain the same: freedom, stability, and maybe a quiet porch to sit and watch the world go mad.

Let’s dive deeper into this topic.

1. The Old Way of Buying a Home (Pre-August 2024)

  • Traditionally, the seller paid the commissions for both their own listing agent and the buyer’s agent.

  • A standard 6% commission was split — 3% to the listing agent, 3% to the buyer’s agent.

  • Buyers didn’t directly pay their agents, making it easy to hire one.

2. The New Rule (Post-August 2024)

  • A legal shift now requires buyers and sellers to negotiate separately with their own agents.

  • Buyers must pay their agents out-of-pocket, typically 3% of the purchase price.

    • On a $500,000 home, that’s $15,000, now paid by the buyer.

3. Buyers Push Back

  • Many buyers now opt to skip buyer agents to save money.

  • They use platforms like Zillow and Redfin to search for homes themselves.

  • The perceived value of a buyer’s agent has diminished, unless the agent offers significant negotiation skill or saves time.


🧩 Realtor Workarounds and the Tech Pushback

4. Realtors Try to Regain Control

  • Some agents exclusively listed homes on the MLS (only accessible to agents), and delayed listings on public sites like Zillow or Redfin.

  • This move was designed to steer buyers back to agents for access to listings.

5. Zillow and Redfin’s Response

  • Both platforms declared they will no longer list homes that are not publicly shared through the MLS first.

  • Their stance: all buyers deserve equal access to all listings.

  • This increases pressure on realtors to stop playing “access control” games.


📉 A Market Already Struggling

6. Sales Volume Has Collapsed

  • From 6.1 million home sales in 2021 to around 4 million in 2024 — a 33% drop.

  • Fewer sales = less income for realtors.

  • Market slowdown stems from high prices, high mortgage rates, and limited affordable inventory.


💰 The Affordability Crisis

7. Prices and Mortgage Rates Have Exploded

 

Year Median Price Mortgage Rate Monthly Payment
2020 $329,000 ~3% ~$1,380
2024 $420,000 ~7% ~$2,800
  • Mortgage payments have more than doubled, while median incomes rose ~20%.

  • Result: Massive affordability gap for new buyers.


🚫 Why People Aren’t Selling

8. Locked-In Low Rates

  • Many homeowners refinanced or bought when rates were 2–4%.

  • They’re reluctant to give up low rates for today’s 7% loans — creating a “golden handcuff” effect.

  • Homeowners stay put → low inventory.


🧱 Builders Face Hurdles Too

9. New Construction Is Slowing

  • Builder confidence has fallen to a 7-month low.

  • Causes:

    • Tariffs on imported building materials (like Canadian lumber).

    • Labor shortages, worsened by worker deportations.

    • Rising construction costs → fewer affordable new homes.


🧨 The Perfect Storm

10. Agents Under Siege

  • Agents now face:

    • Legal pressure from commission lawsuits.

    • Market pressure from slower home sales.

    • Competitive pressure from buyers skipping agents.

    • Platform pressure from Zillow and Redfin enforcing transparency.


🧠 Key Takeaways for Buyers and Sellers

11. Smart Home Buying Principles

  • Don’t buy based on emotion — buy when you can truly afford it.

  • Requirements:

    • 20% down payment.

    • Ability to save and invest while paying your mortgage.

    • Budget for furnishing, moving, and upgrades.

  • A home is not an investment — it’s a liability unless rented out.

    • Want to build wealth? Buy rental properties, not personal residences.

12. Understanding Supply and Demand

  • More demand than supply → prices rise.

  • More supply than demand → prices drop.

  • Right now? Low supply, especially for affordable homes, is propping up prices even as buyers struggle.


🌐 Global Factors in the Background

  • Tariffs and trade tensions (especially with China) are driving up material and borrowing costs.

  • Bond yields are rising (partly from concerns over China dumping U.S. debt), which pushes mortgage rates up.


💡 Final Thoughts (Expanded Wisdom)

  • The real estate game has changed. Buyer agents are now a luxury, not a given.

  • Digital platforms have become gatekeepers, forcing transparency in a once-exclusive world.

  • If you’re a buyer: wait for the right house, but don’t try to time the market.

  • If you’re an investor: own assets that generate income and appreciate over time — that’s where the real wealth is.

  • Above all, stay informed, because every aspect — from policy to international economics — is now woven into the American dream of homeownership.


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