Are We Just Stupid? Or Just Human?

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Government is made up of people. So are government people stupid, or are they evil? That’s the real debate, and like most debates, the truth is messy but you’d be forgiven for thinking so. We Americans love a good mystery, and when we can’t find one, we invent it. That’s how we got conspiracy theories, diet soda, and reality TV. Government is made of Government people, are government people stupid or evil? But maybe—just maybe—the truth is less about secret cabals and more about regular oldhuman laziness, greed, and short attention spans. So pour yourself a drink, sit a spell, and let’s untangle this yarn about incompetence, incentives, and why the real conspiracy might just be that nobody’s actually in charge.

If there’s a grand puppet master behind the curtain, they must be asleep at the wheel—or incredibly bored. More often than not, the chaos we see isn’t evidence of hidden genius but of lazy planning, bad math, and short-term thinking. So before you put on your tinfoil hat, consider the simpler explanation: we might just be governed by folks who are winging it as much as the rest of us. And somehow, that’s both scarier and more comforting. Crap just happens, unless someone really did kill Epstein. Will we ever know.


1. Hanlon’s Razor vs. Conspiracy Thinking

Hanlon’s Razor states: “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.” This isn’t just a snarky saying—it’s a useful tool for navigating today’s noisy world. When things go sideways, our first instinct is to blame a villain hiding behind the curtain. But the reality is often more boring: people mess up. Bureaucracies fumble. Plans go sideways because no one read the memo. The U.S. government, a large and often inefficient bureaucracy, rarely operates with the kind of precision and coordination that many conspiracy theories assume. Most dysfunction can be traced to mismanagement rather than malice. A room full of bumbling decision-makers is more realistic than a smoke-filled room of masterminds.

Hanlon’s Razor states: “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.” This principle serves as a filter to avoid attributing deliberate conspiracy to what could be explained by incompetence. The U.S. government, a large and often inefficient bureaucracy, rarely operates with the kind of precision and coordination that many conspiracy theories assume. Most dysfunction can be traced to mismanagement rather than malice.


2. Occam’s Razor and Our Love for Complexity

Occam’s Razor reminds us that the simplest explanation is often the best one. Yet, strangely enough, humans often resist simplicity. We crave complexity because it feels more intelligent, more meaningful. A simple answer seems too easy, too random, too disappointing. So we seek patterns, villains, and grand designs—even when none exist. This is why conspiracies flourish: they satisfy our hunger for layered, secret truths. But Occam would tell you to leave the chessboard in the closet—sometimes the pieces really are just scattered on the floor. It’s not that we love complexity—it’s that we’re addicted to meaning, and complexity is where our ego feels clever.

Occam’s Razor reminds us that the simplest explanation is often the best one. Yet, strangely enough, humans often resist simplicity. We crave complexity because it feels more intelligent, more meaningful. A simple answer seems too easy, too random, too disappointing. So we seek patterns, villains, and grand designs—even when none exist. This is why conspiracies flourish: they satisfy our hunger for layered, secret truths. But Occam would tell you to leave the chessboard in the closet—sometimes the pieces really are just scattered on the floor


3. The Incentive Problem in Politics

Politicians tend to act based on short-term incentives, primarily driven by election cycles. Their goal is often not to solve long-term problems but to gain favor with voters in the immediate future. That leads to policies like increasing credit availability or printing money—quick fixes with long-term consequences. Once their term ends, the mess is someone else’s problem.


4. The Founders’ Vision vs. Career Politicians

America’s founders imagined public servants as citizen leaders—people who temporarily left their professions to serve the public. Today, politics is a full-time career. This shift has broken the incentive model, replacing sacrifice with self-preservation. Figures like Trump—though polarizing—fit closer to that original ideal: outsiders who step in rather than career politicians who never step out.


5. The Recipe for Conspiracy Theories

Conspiracy theories often follow a four-step cognitive process:

  1. A real event occurs.
  2. Some information about it is missing.
  3. That missing information creates suspicion.
  4. The human mind fills the gap with a story to complete the narrative.

The first compelling story becomes the dominant one because it satisfies the need for closure. This is why conspiracies spread: people prefer a complete (even if false) story over an open question.


6. The Human Brain’s Need for Closure

Humans are wired to create narratives to explain events, especially when data is incomplete. Rick Rubin noted that we observe fragments of reality through our senses and bridge the gaps with story. This survival tool becomes a liability when we prioritize emotional or logical closure over factual accuracy.


7. Realism About Nuclear Weapons

Despite public skepticism, nuclear weapons are every bit as deadly as claimed. A former nuclear missile officer confirms that modern warheads have only become more efficient. While above-ground testing has ceased, underground detonations and advanced simulations continue to confirm their lethality. Generational distance from nuclear detonations has created a false sense of safety. This is a real danger far more than global warming or LGBTQI+ rights, but we don’t talk about it. It is too dark, too unfixable, lets not talk about.


8. Moon Landing Skepticism

Skepticism around the moon landing often focuses on anomalies like the “waving” flag. However, the flag’s motion is explained by physics: it was designed to hold shape and was disturbed during placement. The real reason we haven’t returned to the moon is economic—there’s no longer a strategic or financial incentive. But that is boring, it must be aliens. Yeah aliens that must be the reason.


9. Fringe Conspiracies: Liquid Space & Flat Earth

Bizarre theories like “liquid space” gain traction through the same mechanism: missing information + suspicion = story. These conspiracies thrive in environments where scientific literacy is low or mistrust in institutions is high. They’re not evidence of deeper truths but of how easily stories can fill the void of knowledge.


10. 9/11 and Building 7

The unexplained collapse of Building 7 fuels ongoing speculation. While not hit by a plane, structural damage and fire are offered as explanations. The secrecy of intelligence operations adds layers of opacity. While there is mystery, there’s not enough evidence to justify a definitive conspiracy—at least, not without violating Hanlon’s Razor. The same government that can’t run a DMV or fix a traffic light is somehow pulling off a high-level, multi-layered conspiracy involving thousands? That’s in the same category as faking the moon landing—technically possible, but practically implausible. It’s easier to believe in human error than perfect deception.

The unexplained collapse of Building 7 fuels ongoing speculation. While not hit by a plane, structural damage and fire are offered as explanations. The secrecy of intelligence operations adds layers of opacity. While there is mystery, there’s not enough evidence to justify a definitive conspiracy—at least, not without violating Hanlon’s Razor. The government can barely get a traffic stop done correctly yet they were able to create this whole massive conspiracy involving thousands of people, flying planes into building. Same territory as moon landings

 


11. Spectacle, ROI, and One-Time Feats

Many great achievements, like the moon landing or Red Bull stunts, are one-offs. Their value lies in the act itself—an expensive flex meant to prove a point. Repeating them offers no additional return on investment. That explains why we “did it once and never again”—not because we couldn’t, but because we no longer needed to. Just because you can’t sail around the world, or think astrology and astronomy are the same thing does not mean others are just as dumb as you. Other people are smart and actually know things, and have done them. The problem is not them.


12. Emotional vs Logical Belief Systems

Minor anomalies, like a flag fluttering, can call major achievements into question when people expect total logical consistency. The emotional need for answers often outweighs rational acceptance of evidence. Humans are deeply uncomfortable with uncertainty, and this discomfort fuels both curiosity and delusion.  Most people feel their way through life, like blind mice. You life works much better if your eye are open. So keep reading this blog and we will open them for you.


REMEMBER:  Where There’s Smoke… There’s Usually Just Smoke

 

 


I was finished with this post and then I remember one of the most interesting of them all, the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370

So I decide to add it here.

Good Talks News | Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 Conspiracy Theories ...

The disappearance of Malaysia Airlines Flight MH370 on March 8, 2014, remains one of aviation’s most perplexing mysteries. The lack of definitive answers has led to numerous conspiracy theories attempting to explain the aircraft’s fate. Here are some of the prominent theories:


🧭 1. Pilot Suicide / Mass Murder

A widely discussed theory suggests that Captain Zaharie Ahmad Shah deliberately diverted the flight, leading to a controlled crash into the Indian Ocean. This is supported by data from his home flight simulator, which included a route similar to MH370’s presumed path. However, no conclusive evidence has been found to confirm this theory.


🛰️ 2. Cyber Hijacking

Some experts have proposed that MH370 was the victim of a cyberattack, allowing hijackers to remotely control the aircraft. While Boeing has dismissed the possibility of such an intrusion on their aircraft, the theory persists among certain circles.


🛬 3. Diego Garcia Detour

Another theory posits that the plane was diverted to the U.S. military base on Diego Garcia, either intentionally or after being shot down. The U.S. government has denied any involvement, and no evidence has been presented to support this claim.


🛰️ 4. Russian Involvement

Some suggest that Russian operatives hijacked the plane and diverted it to Kazakhstan. This theory is largely based on geopolitical speculation and lacks concrete evidence.


👽 5. Alien Abduction and Black Holes

Among the more outlandish theories are those involving alien abduction or the plane being consumed by a black hole. These ideas have been widely debunked by experts and are not considered credible explanations.


📱 6. Phantom Cellphones

Reports emerged that family members of passengers heard ringing tones when calling their loved ones’ phones after the disappearance. However, experts explain that this could be due to network behavior and not indicative of the phones being operational.


🧪 7. Freescale Semiconductor Patent Theory

A theory circulated that employees of Freescale Semiconductor aboard the flight held a patent that would revert to the company upon their deaths. Investigations have shown that this claim lacks factual basis and is not supported by patent law.


🧨 8. Shoot-Down Hypothesis

Some believe that MH370 was accidentally shot down during a military exercise and that the incident was subsequently covered up. There is no evidence to support this theory, and it remains speculative.


🧠 9. Government Cover-Up

Former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad suggested that intelligence agencies might be withholding information about the flight’s disappearance. While this adds to the narrative of secrecy, no concrete evidence has been presented to substantiate these claims.


🧭 10. Vertical Dive Theory

Some experts propose that the plane entered the ocean in a vertical dive, which would minimize debris spread and explain the lack of wreckage. This theory aligns with certain simulations but remains unproven.


🔍 Conclusion

While numerous theories attempt to explain the disappearance of MH370, none have been conclusively proven. The mystery continues to captivate the world, highlighting the need for improved tracking and investigative technologies in aviation.(New York Post, The Guardian)


Epilogue: What Is It with All These Razors?

If it feels like this whole conversation has been one big barber shop of logic, you’re not wrong. What’s up with all these “razors” anyway? In philosophy and problem-solving, a “razor” is a mental shortcut or principle that helps you trim away nonsense. Like an actual razor, it’s designed to cut things—just not your face, your thinking.

Here are a few of the most well-known:

  • Occam’s Razor – The simplest explanation is usually the best. If your lights go out, check the breaker before you blame the Illuminati.
  • Hanlon’s Razor – Don’t attribute to malice what can be explained by stupidity. Your boss probably isn’t sabotaging you; they just forgot.
  • Hitchens’ Razor – What can be asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence. It keeps the burden of proof where it belongs.
  • Alder’s Razor – If something cannot be settled by experiment or observation, then it is not worthy of debate.
  • Newton’s Flaming Laser Sword – (Yes, that’s real.) Similar to Alder’s Razor, it says if it can’t be tested, it’s not even worth talking about.
  • Turing Test – While not technically a “razor,” it’s a classic thought experiment used to test whether a machine’s behavior is indistinguishable from a human’s. If you can’t tell whether you’re chatting with a bot or Bob from accounting, the Turing Test says the machine passes. It reminds us that the appearance of intelligence doesn’t guarantee true understanding—and that’s just as true for humans as it is for machines.

Why do these keep popping up? Because they work. They’re mental tools—filters, really—for avoiding the seductive chaos of overthinking, emotional bias, or just plain nonsense. And in a world overflowing with information, distractions, and half-baked theories, you need all the razors you can get. Just don’t try shaving with them.

 

Thank you for reading to the end. You are a real hard core learner.


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